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SuomiSvenska
QA Kulta ry

QA Kulta: Reformat 15 (4 lohkoa)

Reformat 15 (4 lohkoa) #1

This team's matches in QA Kulta: Reformat 15 (4 lohkoa).

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vs Reformat 15 (4 lohkoa) #9
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Advancing

Advancement still open

It's tight — 56% probability of advancing. Every match matters.

Probability of advancing 56%

Calculated assuming an even split for every remaining match (1/3 win, 1/3 draw, 1/3 loss). The real probability may vary depending on the difference in team strength.

⚠️ The top places are level on points — goal difference may decide in the end.

What do the different outcomes mean?

The team has 2 group matches left. Here is EXACTLY what happens to the probability of advancing under each outcome.

Almost certain to advance

  • WW win + win 100% ✓
  • WD win + draw 100% ✓
  • DW draw + win 100% ✓

Good position

  • WL win + loss 67%
  • DD draw + draw 67%
  • LW loss + win 67%

Almost out

  • DL draw + loss 0% ✓
  • LD loss + draw 0% ✓
  • LL loss + loss 0% ✓

W=win · D=draw · L=loss (from first to last). The % figure = probability of advancing when OTHER matches go randomly.

Division: P11 · Group A · Top 2 advance

Path to the next stage: Group A

Which matches the team plays next, depending on its final place. Times may still change.

  1. Place 1
    • Quarter-final time to be confirmed vs Group D – 2.
    • If they win: Semi-final time to be confirmed vs Quarter-final 2 winner
  2. Place 2
    • Quarter-final time to be confirmed vs Group D – 1.
    • If they win: Semi-final time to be confirmed vs Quarter-final 1 winner

Place 3: no further matches

Placement

  • P11 (A)Division not started yet

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